Interest Rate Hike-How to Cope
Author Name :
Tuesday,14th August 2007
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The monthly budgets of more than 3 million households have gone for a toss due to the relentless rise in housing loan rates over the last 24 months. As people struggle to pay the increased EMIs they also worry that rates are set to rise further and will thus put even further strain on their already stretched monthly budgets. For somebody who took a Rs. 10, 00,000/- 20 year home loan at the bottom of the interest rate cycle the EMIs have gone up from Rs. 7,600/- to Rs. 10,399/- (See Example). Inspite of the recent increases in monthly incomes this huge increases in EMI coupled with high inflation rates on other items of daily living is beginning to take its toll on the monthly disposable incomes and savings. So what options do you have to safeguard yourself against this relentless rise in interest rate?
This is not advisable as very few banks provide genuine fixed rate loans anyway. Genuine fixed rate loans are those where the loan document does not have any clause in the agreement that allows the bank to change the "fixed rate" of interest. These loans are not available for less than 13.00% plus you will need to pay a fee for shifting to such loans. So your EMIs will go up immediately plus you will need to pay a fee to shift to such fixed rate loans. This shift will remain more expensive till the floating rates move beyond the current fixed rates of 13.00%. We must not forget that interest rates move in cycles and that over the long tenure of a typical home loan you will be able to benefit from the drop in rates (as and when they happen) also just like you have paid for the increase in rates. Whilst the short term outlook on interest rates clearly points to an increase, an assumption that interest rates will forever remain high will be incorrect. We have already seen one cycle of interest rate movements in this decade (downwards from 2000 to 2004 and broadly upwards thereafter) and there is no reason to believe that this will not repeat itself again. Hence unless you are completely risk averse you should stick to the floating rate loan.
This is a worthwhile option. As a rule of the thumb if the new lender is providing a floating rate loan that is at least 0.50% cheaper than your existing lender and the balance tenure is not less than 7-8 years then this is an option that you should definitely explore despite pre-payment charges that you might have to pay to your existing lender. You need to be vigilant that you are getting the best possible floating rate loan in the market as some banks charge higher rates to existing consumers while giving lower rates to new consumers. So ask around in the market and keep yourself informed on this score. Remember your ignorance will prove quite expensive.
The best option off course remains to rejig your budget and cut out the non essential items and manage within your monthly income. Best of luck with this difficult exercise. Harsh Roongta is the CEO of Apnaloan.com. He can be contacted on harsh@apnaloan.com Let us take an extreme example to understand the magnitude of the change. The interest rates were the lowest in the last quarter of 2003. So let us assume the loan was taken at the lowest possible rate and work out the impact after taking into account the increases that have happened in the intervening period. Loan amount : Rs. 10, 00,000 Date of disbursement : January 1, 2004 Floating interest rate at inception : 7% p.a. Tenure at the inception : 20 years EMI at inception : Rs. 7,600 per month Changes in Interest rates : Date Interest Rate EMI increased to January 1, 2005 7.50% 8,045 July 1, 2005 8.00% 8,336 January 1, 2006 8.50% 8,627 April 1, 2006 9.00% 8,919 July 1, 2006 9.50% 9,213 February 1 2007 10.50% 9,800 April 1, 2007 11.50% 10,399 |
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